Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1.774209 2.031019 2.313264 2.646699 3.030147 3.457662 3.970980
2025-08-10 1.346635 1.667560 2.049665 2.538984 3.150262 3.890409 4.857262
2025-08-17 1.041841 1.378072 1.806284 2.393381 3.180291 4.202692 5.638644
2025-08-24 0.863123 1.209212 1.676674 2.357152 3.327602 4.669653 6.680132
2025-08-31 0.725727 1.069480 1.558493 2.309140 3.440363 5.094329 7.719610
2025-09-07 0.656938 1.013786 1.546035 2.403771 3.763635 5.856730 9.361981
2025-09-14 0.587572 0.945229 1.501982 2.439650 3.996401 6.507494 10.924332
2025-09-21 0.518681 0.866513 1.429439 2.416428 4.125703 7.003984 12.300865
2025-09-28 0.449812 0.777770 1.327708 2.328106 4.129026 7.284046 13.337758
2025-10-05 0.425418 0.760764 1.342968 2.441067 4.494683 8.235642 15.716494
2025-10-12 0.403581 0.744969 1.357414 2.552768 4.870578 9.252479 18.367327
2025-10-19 0.377789 0.718371 1.348434 2.618359 5.166051 10.154288 20.924875
2025-10-26 0.348359 0.682696 1.320844 2.649953 5.410816 11.013974 23.585176
2025-11-02 0.309946 0.624808 1.243645 2.572866 5.425921 11.415598 25.350445
2025-11-09 0.270909 0.560757 1.146300 2.440978 5.307016 11.519425 26.477489
2025-11-16 0.246728 0.524321 1.100662 2.412377 5.407157 12.109922 28.815227
2025-11-23 0.223962 0.488037 1.050824 2.367625 5.464319 12.611772 31.027348
2025-11-30 0.215409 0.481625 1.064378 2.467227 5.868355 13.971689 35.580369
2025-12-07 0.202825 0.464597 1.052266 2.505447 6.131637 15.035089 39.565805
2025-12-14 0.187159 0.438568 1.016525 2.482302 6.240793 15.735405 42.717568
2025-12-21 0.168759 0.403916 0.956613 2.391862 6.167009 15.961563 44.618177
2025-12-28 0.164684 0.403302 0.977747 2.508243 6.646947 17.701338 51.088126
2026-01-04 0.160585 0.402123 0.997316 2.623251 7.140505 19.553793 58.231005